Changing tactics and the West’s procrastination: what conditions are used by Russians to break through
13 November 12:09
The other day, Western media reported that the Russian army had seized the largest territory in a week since the beginning of 2024. In particular, this was reported by Bloomberg. This is more than 200 square kilometers, which were added to the territory captured during the summer offensive, which caused huge losses of Russian troops and equipment.
According to Bloomberg Intelligence, based on data from the DeepState service, which works in cooperation with the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Russia has seized 1146 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory since August 6. This is almost a quarter more than in the first seven months of this year.
Russia “takes” by numbers and does not care about its fallen soldiers
Military analyst Dmitry Snegirev in an exclusive commentary for
“The first problem is the numerical superiority of the Russian occupiers in manpower. The Russian Federation has the ability to replenish its troops by up to 35,000 people per month. This allows them to minimize numerical losses during clashes with the Armed Forces of Ukraine,” the analyst said.
According to him, Russia is using this advantage to support the fighting in all areas of the frontline. The second key problem, according to the expert, is total air superiority.
Follow us on Telegram: the main news in brief
“Russia is able to strike at the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces with impunity, using aircraft and long-range artillery from a distance of up to 60 km. This gives the enemy the opportunity to inflict significant losses without entering the area of impact of Ukrainian air defense,” explains Dmytro Snegiryov.
In addition, an important factor is the Russians’ firepower, which remains despite the EU’s support for Ukraine. Snegiryov says that the Czech initiative to supply artillery shells, although important, does not significantly change the ratio of firepower. The Russians’ firepower ratio can reach a ratio of 1:3, and in some cases even 1:5.
Russians urgently change tactics after Putin’s important order
Snegirev emphasizes the changes in the tactics of Russian troops. If earlier the main forces were infantry units with little support from armored vehicles, today the Russians are massively using heavy armored vehicles. For example, during the recent battles in the Kursk region, up to 30 armored vehicles were involved in one attack alone.
Follow us on Telegram: top news in a nutshell
According to him, the tactics without counting on losses in equipment and manpower is evidence that the Russian command realizes that they have a “limited window of opportunity” that needs to be used before the inauguration of the new US President, Donald Trump.
What does this have to do with international partners and their military support for Ukraine?
In addition, Snegiryov draws attention to the slow pace of military and technical support for Ukraine from international partners, which also affects the course of the war.
“The bill for $61 billion in support for Ukraine, voted by the US Senate, has been implemented by only 10%. Given the Russian military actions, this calls into question the speed and effectiveness of Western support,” he emphasized.
Regarding the prospects for Russian advance, the analyst noted that what is currently happening on the frontline indicates that the Russians will not be able to achieve their goals, in particular, to reach the administrative borders of the Kursk region by January 20, i.e. before Trump’s inauguration. And this course of events on the battlefield “is an unpleasant surprise for Putin.”
“That is, it is proposed to actually, let’s say, freeze or ceasefire along the line of combat, taking into account Ukraine’s territorial gains. This is both a political and military defeat for Putin personally. After all, it will be necessary to recognize the fact that the Ukrainian defense forces control part of the Russian territory. That is why they are in such a hurry,” Snegirev concludes.
Thus, the increased activity of Russian troops and certain territorial gains indicate that the Kremlin does not pay attention to losses and actively uses the Russian military as a human resource.
Experts also emphasize the change in tactics of the Russians, who have significantly increased the use of heavy armored vehicles. At the same time, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are actively holding key positions, continuing to deter Russian attacks, inflicting serious losses on the enemy. This dynamic may become an important factor in determining the course of the war.
Follow us on Telegram: the main news in brief
Author: Daryna Glushchenko
