Ukraine after the war: will the peace agreement really bring peace to Ukraine?

28 February 18:38
ANALYSIS FROM Komersant ukrainskyi

A peace agreement could be more dangerous for Ukraine than the war itself. The United States is creating great uncertainty, and Putin cannot be trusted.

This opinion was expressed by Prime Minister of Denmark Mette Frederiksen. She noted that although the United States and President Donald Trump are trying to initiate a process to end the war with Ukraine, she does not believe Vladimir Putin and his intentions.

“I have to be honest and say that I don’t believe Putin. I don’t believe he wants peace for Ukraine,” Frederiksen said.

She also emphasized that the United States is creating “significant uncertainty” about the war with Ukraine, NATO and Europe.

The Prime Minister also emphasized that President Trump has contributed to the atmosphere of uncertainty on the part of America.

“I don’t feel as confident about the United States as I used to… But we are all surprised by the speed with which this uncertainty has arisen, and we must respond to it,” she added.

Journalists Komersant ukrainskyi journalists have been looking into what this means for Ukraine.

Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine in 2014-2019, diplomat Pavlo Klimkin praised the consistent support of Ukraine by Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen. Exclusively for Komersant ukrainskyi he emphasized that Denmark was one of the first European countries to actively invest in Ukraine’s defense sector, in particular in weapons production.

“It is really unusual in what it does for Ukraine in Denmark. The Danes were one of the first to invest in our defense sector, and they are really very cool,” Klimkin said.

Security after the war and Ukraine’s role in Europe

Klimkin noted that even if a ceasefire or agreements are reached, Ukraine will remain responsible for its own security. He emphasized that the country must be prepared for constant threats, as war cannot be excluded from reality.

“We have to do not less, but even more for our security. We must be ready, both emotionally and morally,” Klimkin said.

“War is not excluded forever. The threat to us as a part of Europe will remain, and we must realize this, the diplomat said.

Klimkin also noted that many Ukrainians may rely on joining NATO or the European Union as a panacea for security and prosperity. However, he emphasized that even in this case, Ukraine will remain a “frontier” between Europe and Eurasia.

Postwar life in Ukraine: challenges and opportunities

The diplomat is convinced that after the war is over, Ukraine will have many opportunities for development, but these opportunities will need to be used properly. Klimkin believes that Ukraine can become a unique European country ready to take risks and fight for itself.

“Post-war life will be great, but not easy. We must invest in development and be responsible for ourselves,” Klimkin said.

He also added that Ukraine has a chance to become a “unique country” in Europe because, unlike many Europeans, Ukrainians are ready to fight for their future.

“We are ready to fight for ourselves. This is something that many Europeans do not have today,” Klimkin emphasized.

Ukraine’s population and demographic challenges

One of the key challenges Ukraine will face after the war is the demographic situation. Klimkin noted that the country’s recovery after the war is impossible without accurate data on the population, as no census has been conducted in Ukraine.

“We hear different figures about the population – about 32 million, but some sociologists say less,” Klimkin said.

He also expressed concern about further population decline as a result of emigration, emphasizing that Ukraine should not become a country with 25 million people.

Ukraine’s future in the European Union

Klimkin also drew attention to the importance of completing Ukraine’s European integration process. He emphasized that while joining the EU opens up new opportunities for Ukraine, the country must maintain its defense capabilities and military production.

“We have to be a special member of the European Union, preserving our uniqueness and at the same time understanding the importance of European rules for our development,” the diplomat summarized.

Pavlo Klimkin emphasized that it is important for Ukraine to become a strong, resilient and responsible nation that can not only shape its own reality but also withstand global challenges.

“Ukraine has a chance to become a country where you can realize yourself better than in any other country,” the expert says.

The war is not over: enemy activity at the front

Meanwhile, Ukrainian Armed Forces soldier Yevhen Ievlev shared his thoughts on the post-war period in a conversation with [Kommersant], emphasizing the complexity of the situation and the important aspects that should be taken into account in planning for the future. Ievlev noted that it is premature to talk about the post-war period, as there are no clear signs that the war is actually coming to an end.

According to Ievlev, the enemy is still active at the front.

“In general, it’s too early to talk about the postwar period, there are no clear signs, at least from the enemy’s activity at the front, from the activity of enemy attacks on Kyiv, there are no signs of the Russian Federation’s intentions to end the war or at least cease fire,” he said.

Problems after the war: from adaptation to inclusiveness

In addition, the military emphasized that the post-war period will not only be difficult, but will also require great efforts to adapt the military who will return from the front.

“These people suffered from post-traumatic stress disorder, many were injured,” he added, pointing to the lack of a specialized ministry or structure in Ukraine that would effectively deal with post-war rehabilitation.

Employment and inclusion will be particularly important.

“These people need inclusivity in cities, access to barrier-free routes, and the ability to access all the services that other people have access to,” Ievlev said.

Reconstruction after the war: what kind of funding should we expect?

Another important topic was the issue of financing the country’s recovery after the war. The military officer noted that Ukraine cannot be sure of support from international partners, especially given the changes in US policy.

“We have no guarantees that we will be provided with funds for reconstruction after the war ends,” he emphasized, adding that there will probably not be a program like the Marshall Plan, which was much talked about earlier.

Regarding the optimistic forecasts that diplomats make from time to time, Ievlev believes that such statements do not always correspond to reality.

“It seems to me that these people who say this do not quite mentally feel what the frontline is and do not quite understand what problems society will face after the war,” he said.

According to the military, the post-war period will be extremely difficult not only economically but also morally. Given these challenges, the country will probably have to look for new approaches to the rehabilitation and integration of veterans, as well as take into account economic difficulties in the face of possible international instability.

Thus, Ukraine must be prepared for the complex challenges of the post-war period, particularly in terms of security, economy and social integration of veterans. Internal stability and international support will play an important role in this process. However, diplomatic and economic uncertainty, especially on the part of the United States, makes it difficult to predict postwar development. Nevertheless, Ukraine has a chance to become stronger and more independent if it takes advantage of the opportunities that will open up after the war.











Darina Glushchenko
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