Recently, sources LIGA.net energy market sources have recently reported that two units of two nuclear power plants are not operating at full capacity, which is leading to an increase in the number of power outages. Problems at nuclear power plants are leading to a 625 MW generation deficit in the power system.
As a result, Ukraine has lost 8% of its generation capacity. In an exclusive commentary [Kommersant] energy expert Sergiy Dyachenko told whether it would be possible to avoid an increase in blackouts for Ukrainians.
According to him, it is impossible to provide accurate forecasts at the moment because the details of the shelling are unknown.
“The details of the shelling are not disclosed, and it is clear why, so we cannot provide an accurate forecast either. Therefore, we proceed from the general knowledge of NPP operation,” he said.
According to him, during the last massive shelling, the aggressor country did not shoot at the plant itself, but at the means of power output, and they are a little easier to repair.
“For example, a substation and a transformer substation are faster to repair than generating equipment. If there is a spare generator, the repair can be completed in 1-2 months. And, accordingly, there will be more light for Ukrainians,” the expert noted and stressed that there is now a chance that the consequences of the latest shelling can be overcome relatively quickly.
“I think that it is likely that if not before the start of the heating season, then in autumn, at least before the start of serious frosts, they will be able to repair the damage that occurred during the large-scale shelling of the power system,” said Dyachenko.
In his opinion, the Russians will not hit the generating equipment to make the country suffer a complete blackout.
“Attacking the generating equipment at a nuclear power plant is a futile exercise, as the structures are very powerful and it would be a huge scandal. By the way, it is interesting that there was no reaction from the IAEA to the last shelling, although the structure of nuclear power plants was hit. For some reason, there was such a fuss about the Kursk plant, but nothing seems to have happened here,” the expert concluded.
Earlier, looked into why the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Rafael Grossi sees a nuclear threat at Kursk NPP, but not at Zaporizhzhia NPP and whether this organisation is dependent on Russian money.
Author – Alyona Kaplina